Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Mansfield
21.1%
Draw
17.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Mansfield
vs
0.78
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).