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AHT: 11CSV

28 Jun 2020 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Stuttgart
28.8%
Draw
43.6%
Darmstadt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Stuttgart

vs
1.44

Darmstadt

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).