Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Wrexham
16.3%
Draw
11.0%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Wrexham
vs
1.02
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
4-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).