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AHT: 01CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.9%
Heidenheim
20.3%
Draw
65.9%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Heidenheim

vs
2.19

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).