Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Reggiana
27.3%
Draw
48.5%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Reggiana
vs
1.60
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).