Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Aves
22.5%
Draw
41.4%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Aves
vs
1.66
Estoril
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).