Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Bielefeld
31.5%
Draw
27.1%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Bielefeld
vs
0.90
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).