Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Morton
29.7%
Draw
23.7%
Queens Park
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Morton
vs
1.02
Queens Park
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).