Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Grimsby
28.2%
Draw
31.1%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Grimsby
vs
0.99
Bolton
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).