Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
28.5%
Draw
18.8%
Wisła Płock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
0.78
Wisła Płock
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).