Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Brescia
24.4%
Draw
55.8%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Brescia
vs
1.61
Napoli
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).