Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Crewe
28.1%
Draw
32.9%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Crewe
vs
1.03
Barnet
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).