Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Nantes
22.1%
Draw
28.0%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Nantes
vs
1.26
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).