Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Ath Bilbao
23.9%
Draw
17.5%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.85
Levante
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).