Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Espanol
25.2%
Draw
15.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Espanol
vs
0.63
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).