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DHT: 21CSV

02 Mar 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.8%
Notts County
12.2%
Draw
4.9%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.89

Notts County

vs
0.63

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-0
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
5.0%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).