Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Annan Athletic
28.8%
Draw
35.9%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Annan Athletic
vs
1.47
Elgin
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).