Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.3%
Draw
22.7%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
0.82
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).