Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Newport County
26.0%
Draw
47.6%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Newport County
vs
1.41
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).