Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Three Bridges
26.3%
Draw
37.3%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Three Bridges
vs
1.25
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).