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10 Feb 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.3%
Bielefeld
23.9%
Draw
12.8%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Bielefeld

vs
0.71

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).