Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Leeds
27.2%
Draw
39.0%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Leeds
vs
1.57
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).