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08 Dec 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.2%
Levante
20.4%
Draw
13.3%
Ponferradina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Levante

vs
0.74

Ponferradina

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).