Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Brescia
25.3%
Draw
57.7%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Brescia
vs
1.54
Roma
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).