Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.6%
Sutton
16.0%
Draw
11.4%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Sutton
vs
0.83
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-1
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).