Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Forest Green
26.9%
Draw
35.4%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Forest Green
vs
1.41
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).