Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Hednesford Town
18.9%
Draw
12.3%
Basford United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Hednesford Town
vs
0.72
Basford United
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).