Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
FeralpiSalo
27.5%
Draw
21.7%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
FeralpiSalo
vs
0.96
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).