Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Blackburn
34.7%
Draw
36.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Blackburn
vs
0.97
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.4%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).