Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Ulm
28.7%
Draw
46.1%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Ulm
vs
1.47
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).