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06 Dec 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.3%
Mirandes
24.8%
Draw
51.8%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Mirandes

vs
1.60

Levante

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).