Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Bradford
21.5%
Draw
13.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Bradford
vs
0.59
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).