Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Valladolid
19.6%
Draw
68.4%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Valladolid
vs
2.10
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
0-3
8.9%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).