Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Newport County
25.3%
Draw
50.1%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Newport County
vs
1.48
Bolton
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).