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12 Sept 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Ipswich
25.6%
Draw
22.7%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Ipswich

vs
1.08

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).