Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Osasuna
21.1%
Draw
17.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Osasuna
vs
0.99
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).