Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Empoli
26.9%
Draw
27.4%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Empoli
vs
1.21
Cesena
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).