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DHT: 00CSV

10 Sept 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Mechelen
17.6%
Draw
11.8%
Oostende

Expected Goals (xG)

2.47

Mechelen

vs
0.93

Oostende

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).