Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Union Berlin
18.8%
Draw
7.9%
Kortrijk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Union Berlin
vs
0.52
Kortrijk
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
1-0
15.3%
3-0
11.0%
1-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).