Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Toulouse
24.9%
Draw
47.3%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Toulouse
vs
1.52
Lens
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).