Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Karagumruk
26.7%
Draw
23.8%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Karagumruk
vs
1.35
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).