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30 Apr 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Inhulets
25.7%
Draw
56.4%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Inhulets

vs
1.60

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).