Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Sp Gijon
22.5%
Draw
37.4%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Sp Gijon
vs
1.66
Almeria
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).