Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Lorient
15.3%
Draw
13.9%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Lorient
vs
1.19
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
3-0
6.7%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).