Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Pau FC
23.1%
Draw
33.8%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Pau FC
vs
1.31
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).