Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Motherwell
32.0%
Draw
27.5%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Motherwell
vs
0.87
Hearts
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).