Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Paderborn
26.7%
Draw
37.0%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Paderborn
vs
1.48
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).