Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Mjällby
19.5%
Draw
5.6%
Degerfors
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Mjällby
vs
0.40
Degerfors
Markets
BTTS29.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.1%
1-0
17.3%
3-0
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
4-0
6.0%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-0
2.4%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).