Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Maidenhead
18.8%
Draw
68.1%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Maidenhead
vs
2.42
York
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).