Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Horsham
20.8%
Draw
29.9%
Margate
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Horsham
vs
1.56
Margate
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).